Is Watkins A Sure Lock?

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Is Watkins A Sure Lock?

Welcome to the SP Roundup, my daily fantasy baseball article reviewing every starting pitcher’s performance from every Wednesday game. I apologise for any jokes that I made in my delirium. Have questions? Questions? on TwitchWeekday mornings at 9 am-11 am ET  

Spenser Watkins (BAL) CHC (W) – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks – 10 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 86 pitches.

The Baltimore Orioles’ incredible 10-game winning streak is one of the most remarkable. Spenser Watkins returning his fourth straight game of 1 ER or fewer, including tonight’s 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks – 10 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 86 pitches affair against the Cubs. It’s pretty cool, but is it true?

Is that a good thing? I’m digging his four-seamer command armside paired with sliders and cutters gloveside with precision, but I don’t think the stuff speaks to immunity when the command begins to waver. In other words, the man has a swagger. Vargas Rule at best right now and will likely not stick around as a Toby For very long. You can make a highly suspicious pickup tonight by adding some tough matchups in AL East.

Still, monitor this stretch and if there’s a moment in August where Watkins gets a weak opponent without a string of clunkers behind him, you may be able to take advantage of a man in rhythm. It’s important to be aware of it.

 

Let’s see how every other SP did Wednesday:

 

Jon Gray (TEX) OAK vs. (W) – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 Hits, 0 BBs, 9 Ks – 16 Whiffs, 36% CSW, 95 pitches.

Yessssss. Gray continues to dominate, while taking advantage the Oakland offense’s gift. Not only was the heater once again 96/97 mph, his slider returned — get this — 16/46 whiffs (that’s a 35% SwStr rate) and made it a frustrating night for the Athletics. And he likely gets the Marlins right out of the break and I don’t see this slowing down. Swoon.

Ross Stripling (TOR) vs. PHI (W) – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks – 10 Whiffs, 38% CSW, 81 pitches.

It’s a near thing! King Cole for Strip, but there’s some ridiculousness in that Angels vs. Astros game, stealing it away from him. Still, I’m heavily impressed he made it through seven frames in just 81 pitches with some Insane Excellent command across the board. Look at this glorious pitch separation — it’s the best I’ve seen from Ross all season. And while the Phils are rocking their worst offense in a while — we saw what Berríos did on Tuesday, too — I’m more inclined to lift my skepticism of Stripling moving forward if he can replicate this.

JT Brubaker (PIT) MIA (ND) – 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 Hits, 2 BBs, 9 Ks – 15 Whiffs, 34% CSW, 99 pitches.

Hot dang, look at you! Coffee Cakes It was brought it Marlins: 80% strikes with curveballs and 9/36 whiffs by his slider. Plus, a beautiful 38% CSW for his sinker that was rooted to stealing strikes in the zone. He’s capable of it, but it’s not something we can depend on. Worth a shot every now and again.

Lucas Giolito (CWS) @ CLE (W) – 6.1 IP, 0 ER, 5 Hits, 1 BBs, 5 Ks – 7 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 91 pitches.

The man got strikes as he kept the changeup and slider down and I’m loving this…except for his sitting just 91.8 mph. What is the matter with Lynn/Kopech/Giolito’s heater velocities? All of them have dramatically lowered their heater velocities lately and I’m a little startled by it. I want to be more enthusiastic of Giolito being a second-half buy low, but if he’s hovering 92 mph, I’m not sure he’ll be able to dominate consistently — the heater sets the stage for the changeup. Perhaps the break will help him get on track.

Adam Wainwright (STL) vs LAD (ND) – 5.1 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 4 BBs, 5 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 28% CSW, 114 pitches.

He was able escape some jams to survive. We can all collectively yell and scream at the bullpen for allowing this to happen. Don’t worry, he won’t need 114 pitches only to get pulled in the sixth next time out against the Reds.

Erik Swanson (SEA) @ WSH (ND) – 2.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 Hits, 0 BBs, 1 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 36% CSW, 25 pitches.

Swanson threw 2 frames. Tommy Milone went for 3.1 and—oh, you’re already asleep. My mistake.

John Brebbia (SF) vs. (ND) – 1.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 Hits, 1 BBs, 0 Ks – 0 Whiffs, 32% CSW, 19 pitches.

He opened for 1.2 innings Sam Long It is a shame, but that is the whole length of his blurb.

Aaron Civale (CLE) CWS vs. (ND) – 1.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 Hits, 0 BBs, 1 Ks – 0 Whiffs, 30% CSW, 20 pitches.

Civale was unable to attend this event due to a wrist injury. Life is painful. Civale is especially affected by the wrist injury.

Shane McClanahan (TB) BOS vs. (W) – 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 3 Hits, 0 BBs, 6 Ks – 18 Whiffs, 38% CSW, 85 pitches.

Aces gonna ace. I love how he simply doesn’t care this was Boston. Does. Not. Matter.

Chris Bassitt (NYM) @ ATL (W) – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 2 BBs, 6 Ks – 17 Whiffs, 30% CSW, 99 pitches.

Yessss. Bassitt was able to score whiffs in all of his pitches during Atlanta’s defeat. This stat line makes me feel that he should do this every outing, which is a wonderful feeling.

Brady Singer (KC) vs. DET (W) – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 Hits, 5 BBs, 6 Ks – 10 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 105 pitches.

It worked, even though it was a little bit of a struggle. Dusty Donut With that 2.00 WHIP. Nothing new here, just Singer’s sinker/slider against the worst offense against right-handers.

Chris Flexen (SEA) @ WSH (W) – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 2 BBs, 1 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 22% CSW, 85 pitches.

It was Flexen at Flexen’s beach! “But sir! You only had one strikeout!”, They say this while poking a pin at Flexen’s inflated biceps. Flexen goes back to his towel with saggy plastic around his forearms. HAISTBMBWT?!, he asks, in dismay. I don’t know, Flexen. I don’t know.

Joe Ryan (MIN) MIL vs. (ND) – 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 2 Hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks – 8 Whiffs, 26% CSW, 78 pitches.

He allowed a towering bomb to center on a solid high heater and that’s about it. Better heaters, still mediocre sliders, and I’m twiddling my thumbs hoping we see Ryan take the next step with said breaker. He’s not a Bad play if he doesn’t have it working, but there will be plenty of turbulence if it stays like this.

Pablo López (MIA) PIT vs. (ND) – 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 1 Hits, 4 BBs, 3 Ks – 9 Whiffs, 25% CSW, 83 pitches.

Aces gonna…ace? The ratios are excellent, the strikeouts are rare, and the walks can be scary. I feel like he’s taken the reins from Buehler as the Ace of Very Good (AVG), but even he went 6+ frames more often. The thing is, Pablo isn’t doing a whole lot different than what we’ve seen in the past — it’s four-seamers with changeups, for the most part. Sure, he didn’t have his best overall command here, but it’s still the same ole approach. I imagine it’ll swing back with the walk rate as we hope the strikeouts improve.

Aaron Ashby (MIL) @ MIN (ND) – 4.1 IP, 1 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 5 Ks – 11 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 101 pitches.

I’m shocked he tossesd 101 pitches after just 72 last time out and he’s not fully developed with his command yet — can’t say I’d anticipate that to arrive until August or so. Throw in the Twins being the Twins, and there’s your start. Let’s hope he clicks into place soon.

Mike Minor (CIN) @ NYY (ND) – 4.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 6 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 31% CSW, 91 pitches.

Yes, it was only four innings. It was a 2.00 WHIP. But the man allowed only one ER! That’s a major Minor victory. Suitman whispers in mine ear. Oh, and it had four unearned runs. Ahhhh, this makes perfect sense.

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Shohei Ohtani (LAA) vs. HOU (W) – 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 12 Ks – 24 Whiffs, 43% CSW, 105 pitches.

As Ohtani proved, Aces are gonna be Aces Golden GoalThis is getting It is absurd as his slider, once again, took the lead with a stupid good 55% CSW across 50% usage and it’s hard not to fall in love with the pitch. He should win MVP again. Seriously.

Zac Gallen (ARI) @ SF (ND) – 6.2 IP, 2 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks – 8 Whiffs, 24% CSW, 97 pitches.

Hmmmmm. So he’s tossing a ton of strikes with changeups and cutters, but getting few whiffs and I wonder if that’s something we should depend on or not. I miss the Gallen Gal, the Gallen Gal who had legit whiff potential across all his secondaries. Nights like these are the real ceiling, and I believe we should accept it.

Erick Fedde (WSH) vs SEA (L) – 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 1 Ks – 2 Whiffs, CSW 19%, 85 pitches.

Remember to be kind to your children Don’t Trust The Feddes…even when he allows just two earned runs because you realize the WHIP was terrible and one strikeout ain’t gonna butter that toast — HAISTBMBWT?!

Justin Steele (CHC) vs BAL (L) – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 Hits, 1 BBs, 3 Ks – 5 Whiffs, 21% CSW, 85 pitches.

Steele was on a solid run, where five of his six games had 2 ER or less. But then, the Orioles and their winning streak emerged. If you did this, a PQS with a 1.17 WHIP ain’t so bad. At least y’all can stop beliving his recent strikeout surge isn’t here to stay with jsut 1/38 whiffs on the four-seamer.

Josh Winckowski (BOS) @ TB (L) – 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 5 Ks – 7 Whiffs, 28% CSW, 92 pitches.

Winckowski was an option that you added to your Win. The result was a loss with a PQS and while that isn’t So bad with a 1.00 WHIP, it’s not exactly what you can for. You can blame McShane being McShane on the other end — against a “normal”You could have taken that dub.

Joe Musgrove (SD) @ COL (ND) – 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 9 Hits, 0 BBs, 4 Ks – 12 Whiffs, 32% CSW, 88 pitches.

Coors is where Aces are going to struggle. Why is this place so stupid? Okay okay okay, it’s a lovely stadium, BUT YOU UNDERSTAND.

Chad Kuhl (COL) SD vs. (ND) – 4.2 IP, 3 ER, 7 Hits, 4 BBs, 2 Ks – 7 Whiffs, 22% CSW, 95 pitches.

Ohhh, Kuhl WHIP ruining the meal What meal is it? It’s a good point.

Cristian Javier (HOU) @ LAA (L) – 3.2 IP, 3 ER, 5 Hits, 3 BBs, 10 Ks – 19 Whiffs, 33% CSW, 92 pitches.

This is obviously a bummer as he needed 92 pitches for just eleven outs, but y’all should be thrilled it came with ten strikeouts. The best arms can give you something to salvage from their poor outings. Blame the four-seamer, for being a bit too erratic in this. While I know it is a pair if disappointments in a row following the two starts that turned us heads like owls. However, the ceiling is still very present. Keep going with this.

Tarik Skubal (DET) @ KC (L) – 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 8 Hits, 0 BBs, 5 Ks – 12 Whiffs, 27% CSW, 94 pitches.

Womp womp. It was a Dennis Skubal was eventually hit across his pitches. I liked the slider command. However, he allowed far to many hits on the pitch despite the fact that it was down-and-gloveside. His sinker is. There are many He is worse than his fourseamer (maybe because they are located horizontally at the middle).), and his changeup was banged when he floated them. It wasn’t great. It’s still possible to master the four-seamer if he has the right feel for his other arsenal. But it could take some time before we can see the difference. There are some tweaks that need to be made.

Luis Severino (NYY) CIN vs. SV (ND) – 2.0 IP, 4 ER, 4 Hits, 2 BBs, 1 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 21% CSW, 43 pitches.

Severino was suffering from shoulder pain and was sat at 2.1 mph on the heater when he left. Noooooo. We were all excited for this one against the Reds and sometimes we just don’t get nice things.

Paul Blackburn (OAK) @ TEX (L) – 6.0 IP, 5 ER, 3 Hits, 4 BBs, 4 Ks – 6 Whiffs, 21% CSW, 101 pitches.

Ahhh dangit. The Rangers have been a little better lately to the point that they jumped Blackburn in their first run for all five runs. PB deserves credit for rebounding with five runs unearned after, but it is surprising to see only 13% curveballs in this game. The fella usually stays around a bit longer. After the break, he gets a revenge round and we saw both ends of the coin in this one. Who knows how that’ll go.

Charlie Morton (ATL) NYM vs. (L) – 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 6 Ks – 9 Whiffs, 23% CSW, 107 pitches.

Ouch. Morton has been fighting with our emotions for the past four outings, and the Mets were not kind to him with his breakers. Keep it cool, y’all, he could very easily get back on track next time as I didn’t see anything too alarming here. We’re not back to the days on April/May, I promise. Probably.

Josiah Gray (WSH) vs SEA (L) – 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 Hits, 3 BBs, 7 Ks – 12 Whiffs, 31% CSW, 97 pitches.

Awww. His curveball was It is absurd 49% CSW but the fastball command was horrible (despite its superior intent!  and voila, that’s all (s)he wrote. You got seven strikeouts from it, right? He’ll likely get the Diamondbacks after the break and we can hope he’ll get back on track there.

Tony Gonsolin (LAD) @ STL (ND) – 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 6 Ks – 17 Whiffs, 29% CSW, 96 pitches.

The guy had to fall. Once This year, right! Yes, you can forgive me for this was the beginning. After I gave him my AGA label. Obviously. I can’t thank him enough for doing what he can to make Sandy Alcantara The NL ERA leader enters the break (yes, this is the third roundup about Sandy). SUE ME. The slider was off and he threw so much dang splitters, four-seamers and other things over the zone. It happens.

Zack Wheeler (PHI) @ TOR (L) – 4.2 IP, 6 ER, 7 Hits, 1 BBs, 4 Ks – 11 Whiffs, 25% CSW, 91 pitches.

Aces gonna be sad they weren’t an all-star and let it affect him. It was a bad day for Aces, as his slider didn’t return even one whiff. This was despite the fact that he had too many hittable fastballs. Whatareyagonnado. He’s fine.

 

Game of the Day

 

Corbin Burnes vs. Carlos Rodón – Are two all-star pitchers vying for the title? Absolutely.

Nick! But Nick?! – I’ve moved them to the daily SP Matchups & Streamer Rankings article.

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Featured image by Ethan Kaplan (@DJFreddie10 Twitter)

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